Brockness Monster
Well-Known Member
I spent 5 years with the USS Nimitz battlegroup (USS Princeton CG-59 2002-2007). Your assessment of the Navy experience is spot on, and I miss it for some reason.
I spent 5 years with the USS Nimitz battlegroup (USS Princeton CG-59 2002-2007). Your assessment of the Navy experience is spot on, and I miss it for some reason.
I dunno, lots of their products look like they belong on an aircraft carrier.I took this whole thing WAY off topic but Spike Brewing is for sale
I dunno, lots of their products look like they belong on an aircraft carrier.
Not so fast...
"pontoon boats are estimated to produce 52,000 to 55,000 new unit sales in 2024,"
Wisconsin alone has an annual boat and accessory revenue of $1B
No one really knows how many active homebrewers there are but I can guarantee there are more people sitting in a pontoon boat right now than are brewing a batch of beer.
I recall a time, not long ago when Spike was planning to borrow a bunch of money to build a new facility I think. 7-12 million of memory serves me (it often doesn't anymore. Hahaha). The deal did not go thru ... I believe.His post said, "sell a meaningful stake," which sounds a lot like "minority share." If he intended to sell a majority interest he would've stated it. The post sounds like he's not sure what the divestment will be, or perhaps he does have an idea but wants to keep his options open for negotiation. Probably smart to keep things loose and see what interest rolls in. But, given the state of homebrewing now, it will be a challenge.
One possibility would be to seek an angel investor who is willing to buy into a minority share for a slice of the profits. However, those investors usually demand a marketing plan with certain growth expectations. That might not be optimal for an owner who's looking to focus his attention to the new venture.
Another option could be to license the whole thing to a contract manufacturer, one that can also do the marketing.
Always show up with beer and 5 gals of non-ethanol gas. <boom> First Mate.I don't want to own a boat but I need tips on making friends with people who own boats.
I produce enough to fill my office on a daily basis, that's got to be way more than 5 gallons.Always show up with beer and 5 gals of non-ethanol gas. <boom> First Mate.
I'd have to convert to burning methane. Also, the connection to the fuel rail could be uncomfortable.I produce enough to fill my office on a daily basis, that's got to be way more than 5 gallons.
Glad to see you chime in here @Bobby_M
I can't think of another person or business that could bring more to the Spike brand than you and BrewHardware.com (especially with what you could do with their bottom drain kettles).
Unfortunately, I doubt that the Spike brand would bring enough to you and the shop to warrant what I bet is an overestimate on the value of the Spike brand.
You and BrewHardware.com were my first thoughts when I saw this announcement.
Me too. Friends for life, and memories to boot. Ahoy, Shipmate.I spent 5 years with the USS Nimitz battlegroup (USS Princeton CG-59 2002-2007). Your assessment of the Navy experience is spot on, and I miss it for some reason.
We called that a Tiger Cruise. I was on the Independence (CV-62) in the 80s. East Coast. Its gone now, cut up for scrap. We did a Tiger Cruise to New York City for 4th of July, I think it was 1983. I got to bring my dad. We had lots of stars doing a show for us - Bob Hope, Kenny Rogers, Loretta Lynn, Ben Vereen, Emmanual Lewis, and others back then.Boat? Navy? My son, who dislikes boats, joined the Navy in 2017.
He gave me a ride once, in 2023.
View attachment 880633View attachment 880634View attachment 880635View attachment 880636View attachment 880637
It was LONG ride! Pearl Harbor to San Diego on the USS Nimitz (aircraft carrier). It took 6 days.
Food was terrible, bunks were worse. Bathrooms smelled horrible. They have 0 chairs on the entire ship. (They are either working or sleeping or eating I guess). It was awesome!
BOAT = Break Out Another ThousandThe two happiest days of a boater's life:
The day they buy the boat.
The day they sell the boat.
I can’t count the number of guys I know/knew who stopped brewing. I can’t count the number of homebrew stores that went out of business. My closest one is about an hour and a half drive. I can’t count the micros that went under.Maybe I'm not thinking it through but I can think off a hundred alternative investments less risky than brewing right now.
…and I didn’t mention the nationwide obsession with stinkweed.I can’t count the number of guys I know/knew who stopped brewing. I can’t count the number of homebrew stores that went out of business. My closest one is about an hour and a half drive. I can’t count the micros that went under.
So many stories are out there about younger people not drinking beer. They’re either buying hard iced tea, White Claw, or some are drinking stuff like Capt Morgan.
Our club has about 40 members, most of us are north of 50, many north of 60. We’ve lost a couple guys not long ago just being too old, selling off all their stuff. We really haven’t added any new members in years. Maybe less than half of us are hard core, attending almost every meeting and bringing stuff we brewed, doing presentations, etc. We have a few who show up occasionally or only for the holiday parties, etc.
I’m 65 this year. I hope to be brewing for a few more years. Long term outlook though?
my "real time" notes (while listening)
In the 2010s~ 8:30 cheap capital, in hopes of profit, grows a capital intensive industry.~ 9:30 community & uniqueness (craft pints at a local brewpub)then, in the early 2020~ 11:00 lock down, inflation, shifting demographics
and some "Business Nerd" stuff~15:00: "airplane economics"- capital intensive industries need high utilization to survive- breweries are capital intensive~16:00: business cycles: "tailwinds" become "headwinds", ...~17:00: currently not 'the best of times' to start a brewery
My thoughts
In the context of home brewing equipment, most of this seems to apply.
But hobbies are not businesses. It is likely that the home brewing hobby will continue to find approaches to brew enjoyable beer at home using basic equipment.
Hobbies survive (and perhaps thrive) in environments where individual hobby suppliers may not.“An entire generation behind this one is not at all interested in craft beer.”
Two generations are aging, one is fading out. And an entire generation after them has no interest - they say in craft beer - I said in beer.
How many ads have you gotten for “Pinter”?I suspect home brewing has a big leg up vs. craft brewies... First, homebrewing is not capital intensive to learn and to make amazing beer. Many folks already have a 8-10 pot. You can get a can or two of extract and a brew bucket, and save your bottles as the final package. Some cleaning items, yeast, etc... yes. $200 bucks is a doable "starting capital" for homebrewing. (@MaxStout )
And the current cost of beer in the store is insane. Most six packs are close to $10 or more for "craft beers". When I got back into the hobby(2017) after a multi-year hiatus, I calculated how much beer was costing me and it opened my eyes to considering home brews again. The "business model" for homebrewing can actually save you money, lots of it! If you don't fall prey to the gear hound disease. That said... You can save money from cheaper homebrewing costs and "go big" in time. Additionally, you can save a big chunk of money by patronizing a local malt house (saving 35-50% on your grain bill)
When I was a kid - we would splurge sometimes and get a case of Miller High Life for about $8. If we felt poor, we would go Rhinelander for $3.99 for a case of 24 long necks (about 16 1/2¢ per bottle).
Having watched the beer industry for over 60 years... (The family business was corn milling, and the big beer boys were the biggest chunk of the business in the 60s & 70s. It began as an Aggie feed company, and moved to beer due to higher margins). That all changed as Schlitz moved to HFCS instead of the corn grits, and that led the charge to Schlitz's road to irrelevance. The family business moved into soybeans in addition to corn and eventually bought out by Archer Daniels.
Beer companies and consumption goes thru boom and bust about every 7-12 years to complete a cycle. In the 60s & 70s we had ZERO craft brewers and a few dozen big boys. And homebrewing exploded when homebrewing became legal in about 1978. We are currently at or near the trough of the cycle. What kicks it back ? I suspect when enough folks figure how to make their own beer, that is awesome for half the cost. I am already there... But historically, I am always early to the game, & pioneers catch all the arrows. But wait and watch... I bet homebrewing is going to have another surge over the next 5-10 years. Perhaps I am optimistic, but for hundreds and hundreds of years... Beer is foundational beverage. Like milk... Beer is here to stay.
Yeah the avg cost of a 6 pack is probably right about $10, even for some macros. You only save on those buying case or 30 packs. I just picked up 2 6 packs from Victory. Royale IPA and Octoberfest. Right about $20 for both. Bigger beers cost more, double IPAs, Imperial Stouts, Barleywine. I got a 4 pack 16 oz cans of Imperial Stout from one of our local micros - $35. It’s a great beer and I like the guy but thats alot. Those are the beers you’ll save money brewing yourself.I suspect home brewing has a big leg up vs. craft brewies... First, homebrewing is not capital intensive to learn and to make amazing beer. Many folks already have a 8-10 pot. You can get a can or two of extract and a brew bucket, and save your bottles as the final package. Some cleaning items, yeast, etc... yes. $200 bucks is a doable "starting capital" for homebrewing. (@MaxStout )
And the current cost of beer in the store is insane. Most six packs are close to $10 or more for "craft beers". When I got back into the hobby(2017) after a multi-year hiatus, I calculated how much beer was costing me and it opened my eyes to considering home brews again. The "business model" for homebrewing can actually save you money, lots of it! If you don't fall prey to the gear hound disease. That said... You can save money from cheaper homebrewing costs and "go big" in time. Additionally, you can save a big chunk of money by patronizing a local malt house (saving 35-50% on your grain bill)
When I was a kid - we would splurge sometimes and get a case of Miller High Life for about $8. If we felt poor, we would go Rhinelander for $3.99 for a case of 24 long necks (about 16 1/2¢ per bottle).
Having watched the beer industry for over 60 years... (The family business was corn milling, and the big beer boys were the biggest chunk of the business in the 60s & 70s. It began as an Aggie feed company, and moved to beer due to higher margins). That all changed as Schlitz moved to HFCS instead of the corn grits, and that led the charge to Schlitz's road to irrelevance. The family business moved into soybeans in addition to corn and eventually bought out by Archer Daniels.
Beer companies and consumption goes thru boom and bust about every 7-12 years to complete a cycle. In the 60s & 70s we had ZERO craft brewers and a few dozen big boys. And homebrewing exploded when homebrewing became legal in about 1978. We are currently at or near the trough of the cycle. What kicks it back ? I suspect when enough folks figure how to make their own beer, that is awesome for half the cost. I am already there... But historically, I am always early to the game, & pioneers catch all the arrows. But wait and watch... I bet homebrewing is going to have another surge over the next 5-10 years. Perhaps I am optimistic, but for hundreds and hundreds of years... Beer is foundational beverage. Like milk... Beer is here to stay.
I certainly hope so as well, but it’s hard to be happy when viewing all the carnage.I suspect home brewing has a big leg up vs. craft brewies... First, homebrewing is not capital intensive to learn and to make amazing beer. Many folks already have a 8-10 pot. You can get a can or two of extract and a brew bucket, and save your bottles as the final package. Some cleaning items, yeast, etc... yes. $200 bucks is a doable "starting capital" for homebrewing. (@MaxStout )
And the current cost of beer in the store is insane. Most six packs are close to $10 or more for "craft beers". When I got back into the hobby(2017) after a multi-year hiatus, I calculated how much beer was costing me and it opened my eyes to considering home brews again. The "business model" for homebrewing can actually save you money, lots of it! If you don't fall prey to the gear hound disease. That said... You can save money from cheaper homebrewing costs and "go big" in time. Additionally, you can save a big chunk of money by patronizing a local malt house (saving 35-50% on your grain bill)
When I was a kid - we would splurge sometimes and get a case of Miller High Life for about $8. If we felt poor, we would go Rhinelander for $3.99 for a case of 24 long necks (about 16 1/2¢ per bottle).
Having watched the beer industry for over 60 years... (The family business was corn milling, and the big beer boys were the biggest chunk of the business in the 60s & 70s. It began as an Aggie feed company, and moved to beer due to higher margins). That all changed as Schlitz moved to HFCS instead of the corn grits, and that led the charge to Schlitz's road to irrelevance. The family business moved into soybeans in addition to corn and eventually bought out by Archer Daniels.
Beer companies and consumption goes thru boom and bust about every 7-12 years to complete a cycle. In the 60s & 70s we had ZERO craft brewers and a few dozen big boys. And homebrewing exploded when homebrewing became legal in about 1978. We are currently at or near the trough of the cycle. What kicks it back ? I suspect when enough folks figure how to make their own beer, that is awesome for half the cost. I am already there... But historically, I am always early to the game, & pioneers catch all the arrows. But wait and watch... I bet homebrewing is going to have another surge over the next 5-10 years. Perhaps I am optimistic, but for hundreds and hundreds of years... Beer is foundational beverage. Like milk... Beer is here to stay.
I certainly hope so as well, but it’s hard to be happy when viewing all the carnage.
There’s another online video, which I sadly regret not having bookmarked, where the owner of the recently shuttered Atlantic Brewing Supply lamented the downturn in home brewing. Her very balanced and unemotional reasoning paralleled the previous linked video, but also cast some shade on how current homebrewers themselves are partly to blame. She talks about how the entry level into the hobby by a newcomer is often overwhelming, with homebrew club members intent on stoking their own egos with technical talk that leaves the newbies wondering what the hell they are doing by trying out this hobby.
Maybe we ourselves are unintentionally sabotaging our own success?
There’s another online video, which I sadly regret not having bookmarked, where the owner of the recently shuttered Atlantic Brewing Supply lamented the downturn in home brewing. Her very balanced and unemotional reasoning paralleled the previous linked video, but also cast some shade on how current homebrewers themselves are partly to blame. She talks about how the entry level into the hobby by a newcomer is often overwhelming, with homebrew club members intent on stoking their own egos with technical talk that leaves the newbies wondering what the hell they are doing by trying out this hobby.