This hit might stay higher because of the degradation - real or imagined - of some BEV batteries.
As far as I can tell as an outsider to the industry, battery degradation as an issue seems to be mostly imagined. It seems that a lot of the concerns can be mitigated by battery management. Both as it relates to charging speed, thermal management, how often it's charged to 100%, etc.
However, this is one of the reasons that I'm leery about jumping in. I feel like Tesla probably is farther along the "learning curve" than any other EV maker, but I have a lot of personal reasons that I don't want to deal with Tesla as a company. (Not worth getting into BTW.)
That means that any BEV I'd be looking at is a company that's somewhat behind Tesla on that learning curve. And that because of that, if I'm looking for a "gently used" 3 year old used EV, I'm dealing with not only where they were on the learning curve, but where they were 3 years ago.
And then on top of that I have to wonder in the used market how it was charged... Was it constantly charged at L3 DC fast chargers by someone who always took it to 100%? Or was it charged by someone who rarely ever left their area, never went above 80%, and at worst was charging at L2? Similar to an ICEV where you wonder whether it was gently driven by Granny on her way the grocery store once a week, bingo twice a week, and to church every Sunday, or whether it was driven by an 18 yo with a lead foot?
That said, if the hit is higher because of
imagined issues with battery degradation that aren't real, then I benefit even more by buying used... If the market is devaluing used BEVs based on a completely bogus reason, I'm more than happy to exploit that for my own savings
