kombat
Well-Known Member
I used to work with a guy not only dumb enough to go through with this
What's dumb about it?
I used to work with a guy not only dumb enough to go through with this
What's dumb about it?
That your coworkers will make fun of you like you only have one testicle.
I guess if I worked with people that had the maturity of little kids I'd gladly take that over making a baby. Then laugh at them when they knock some girl up and have to pay child support for the next 18 years.
Thereby demonstrating your maturity.I guess if I worked with people that had the maturity of little kids I'd gladly take that over making a baby. Then laugh at them when they knock some girl up and have to pay child support for the next 18 years.
I am basically for anything that stems population growth.
I'd say so and he would agree. He accepted the risk, and I am sure that he was informed of it and signed off on it but later decided that he was pretty dumb to have accepted it. What did it buy him? And this was a guy who knew a lot about expectation. Hell, he didn't even get the transistor radio!
There are other reasons that I used to counsel the younger guys not to take this step but as I sense that even citing the very real risks here is politically incorrect I think I'd better slink back off to Brew Science.
I am basically for anything that stems population growth.
As I didn't say that I can't answer the question.What do you mean when you say a man is emasculated by vasectomy?
I think Larry's was - by 50% (unless there is some feedback system which would cause the remaining gonad to try to take up the load of the missing one.Do you think his testosterone level is being affected by vasectomy?
...providing some statistics...
I may have made it clear that I think getting a vasectomy isn't very smart but I have not, intentionally, tried to discourage anyone from considering it. Considering it, up and down sides, is exactly what I want people to do. That satisfies my compulsion to try to make people think. In fact I hope that you will all go out and get one or more than one (in India it was soon discovered that you could get more than one transistor radio by showing up more than once and many did that thus balancing the expectational analysis to the benefit side). There are too many people in the world and I am for anything which ameliorates that. Malthusian Catastrophe is, despite my earlier comment upon us (if not perhaps in the way it was originally conceived).... before you come on here and try to discourage people from considering one of the most effective and safe forms of birth control that there is.
There's the first one willing to publicly announce that he doesn't understand expectation.
When I first posted here I didn't realize that the title was misleading and that only acquiescense would be tolerated.
I used to work with a guy not only dumb enough to go through with this but to talk about it at the office.
he was only ridiculed behind his back
If you don't see what's dumb about that then God help you!
He certainly came to lament his stupidity.
Thereby demonstrating your maturity.
There's the first one willing to publicly announce that he doesn't understand expectation.
Try looking up Expected Value in Wikipedia. That will explain the math involved but you may have trouble applying it to situations where the costs are not solely in $. Yet psychologists tell us that we make life decisions based on the same principles.
Anyone who chooses to get behind the wheel of a car is dumb. Don't they know the risks involved?
The problem here is that people don't read the posts through before they start typing. This is clear from the nature of the responses. In the one case where the poster sincerely tried to get information the question was posed as "what do you mean when you say...." and then inserted something I never said.
If you will ask a rational question that reflects something I wrote I will try to give you an answer/explanation (without being condescending) but I really suspect this is flame bait.
Assuming that you are sincere I will summarize the argument I am trying to make.
I hope everyone here, and a whole lot of other people too, get vasectomies (or tubal ligations or pessaries or whatever) but that is not part of the argument. The argument is:
Expectational analysis is a very powerful tool for making decisions widely used in industry, government, academia etc. A simple example of this is that the expected value of an insurance company's received premiums has to exceed the expected value of its paid benefits if it is to stay in business. If you are contemplating a vasectomy, or any other medical procedure, or making any other major decision you should do the analysis.
Now were you a young employee of mine asking whether you should get a vasectomy I would tell you to do the expectation analysis and give you some guidance as to what to put in the cost column and let you decide what to put in the benefits column. I would tell you about L. Marble. I would also tell you that IMO the equation is likely to come up on the don't do it side.
OK. There it is. One more whack at the tar baby.
The problem here is that people don't read the posts through before they start typing. This is clear from the nature of the responses. In the one case where the poster sincerely tried to get information the question was posed as "what do you mean when you say...." and then inserted something I never said.
If you will ask a rational question that reflects something I wrote I will try to give you an answer/explanation (without being condescending) but I really suspect this is flame bait.
Assuming that you are sincere I will summarize the argument I am trying to make.
I hope everyone here, and a whole lot of other people too, get vasectomies (or tubal ligations or pessaries or whatever) but that is not part of the argument. The argument is:
Expectational analysis is a very powerful tool for making decisions widely used in industry, government, academia etc. A simple example of this is that the expected value of an insurance company's received premiums has to exceed the expected value of its paid benefits if it is to stay in business. If you are contemplating a vasectomy, or any other medical procedure, or making any other major decision you should do the analysis.
Now were you a young employee of mine asking whether you should get a vasectomy I would tell you to do the expectation analysis and give you some guidance as to what to put in the cost column and let you decide what to put in the benefits column. I would tell you about L. Marble. I would also tell you that IMO the equation is likely to come up on the don't do it side.
OK. There it is. One more whack at the tar baby.
Apparently not.Yeah, I think most of us got that part already.
Again it's clear you don't understand. I cannot offer evidence as to how your analysis will come up because I don't know what numbers you will put into it. I can tell you why it came up negative for me though. If there is no expected benefit (and I don't see any) but there are expected costs then the equation comes out negative then the net expected costs are negative and to go ahead is dumb. If, conversely, you see expected benefit that outweighs the costs (the transistor radio in the Indian government programs for example was sufficient) then it is not dumb and you go ahead.But thanks for explaining it again in plainer terms so us simpletons can understand. You're still not presenting much in the way of evidence for why you think the analysis results in A over B, you're just continuing to be condescending.
Were that the case we would be arguing about the magnitudes of the costs and benefits and their probabilities and there would indeed be a basis for intelligent discussion but you can't seem to grasp the fundamental concept. I am sorry if that is insulting but you probably never had training in decision theory and can't really be expected to. You could always look it up but when I suggested that last night you took it as an insult.I'm well aware of what expectation is.
No it isn't but then if you had read the post you would know that this isn't what I am arguing.Continuing to blather on about what expectation is not an argument for why getting a vasectomy is "dumb".
Were I your boss my reply would be "Let's see those numbers". What you are missing is that it isn't the algorithm that gives the answer: it's the numbers put into it.That would be like my boss asking me why I think parking all of our cash reserves in municipal bonds is a bad idea, and I just replied "numbers".
OOPS ...... looks like someone had one or two beers too many while posting in this depressing thread!Erryone gets a vasectomy!
OOPS ...... looks like someone had one or two beers too many while posting in this depressing thread!
If the experience of one person is what goes into the analysis, that's not a very good expectational analysis, IMO.
That would be a very flawed analysis. First, this information tells you what can happen if you drink too much water which isn't really relevant to your decision to have a drink when you are thirsty unless you are in one of those stupid radio station contests which have killed people. Of more relevance here is the probability that you will suffer the bad consequences of drinking too much water (arrythmia from electrolyte depletion say) even though you drank a normal amount. This is a finite probability, should be multiplied by the cost of such an outcome and put into the costs column. But other things go into the cost column too. The consequences of not drinking water, their probabilities and the product of the probabilities with the costs. Then in the benefits column you would put the benefits of proper hydration multiplied by the probabilities of realizing them. Such an analysis would clearly lead to the conclusion that it would be dumb to forswear water even though there is risk associated with it. If you repeated this for too much water you would conclude that it is dumb to enter one of those contests.I heard of a guy who drank too much water and died as a result, therefore my expectional analysis says I should never drink water...
I have patiently explained things at a level school children should be able to understand and I'm not going to continue repeating to a brick wall.Get off your damned high-horse already and say something of substance.
Well you clearly aren't.You make very generalized comments on how getting a vasectomy is dumb, and then continue to hide behind assumptions that we're not on your level to avoid discussing details.
ThanksYou're a real piece of work.
I don't think I've lost any arguments here because no one has refuted the argument I have made. Several people, especially you, are trying to refute the argument you think I am making because you aren't reading what I am posting.I guess it's real easy to avoid losing arguments when you refuse to make them.
Duh!Expected benefit could be debated until the cows come home, and obviously that's going to very from person to person.
But then that's not the argument I'm making.If the sole reason you think vasectomies are dumb is because you personally don't perceive a benefit to yourself, then that's not much of an argument.
Had you read my previous post you would have seen that I said that those are exactly the things that we should be discussing. I note with interest that you did not mention them until after I did.We all agree that there are risks and there are costs. The what and the how much and the probabilities are what interest me, but you refuse to even address these
Never said that. I said the expectation equation with my personal assessment of the risks , rewards and probabilities came out negative = dumb...other than to assert that they exist and that they are unacceptably high,
... along with a thoroughly uncompelling anecdote about your sample size of one.
OK. There it is. One more whack at the tar baby.
Enter your email address to join: