pH shift due to calcium and magnesium

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Larry Sayre, Developer of 'Mash Made Easy'
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I came across this equation on the website linked directly below it.

pH = 5.8 + [0.028 x {(Total alkalinity(as CaCO3) x 0.056)-(Ca (ppm) x 0.04)-(Mg (ppm) x 0.033)}]

(Where 5.8 = the malts presumed DI mash pH)

http://www.winning-homebrew.com/mash-pH.html

The formula should more generically and properly be stated as:

pH = (DI mash pH) + [0.028 x {(Total alkalinity(as CaCO3) x 0.056)-(Ca (ppm) x 0.04)-(Mg (ppm) x 0.033)}]

Is this merely someones empirical (ballpark) pH shift calculating equation, or does it have a basis derived from brewing science? Either way, does it closely model reality with respect to mineral induced mash pH shift?
 
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