Relax have a homebrew, I didn't call you a fool and didn't mean to imply anything similar just so we're clear. I did say "you're fooling yourself" which I was directing at the thread in total and used as a figure of speech not as a statement of fact or opinion.
Depending on how you count, in my region there are approximately 16 or 17 package brewing companies. In our local grocery store, only four are available and one of them has an exclusive distribution deal with AB.
Despite a wealth of great microbrews, there are retail and tap outlets where they simply don't have access to the marketplace and that's a direct result of the actions of macros.
The craft segment is growing for sure, it's growing in capacity and it's growing in operators while having a practically insignificant impact on the major's sales figures as a percentage. Obviously a corporation cares about every dollar, but going from 91% of marketshare to 90% isn't going to send them into any kind of tailspin...and just wait to see how they're hurting once they own Corona.
The craft segment is fighting to increase share of sales one percentage point while attempting to distribute that share over thousands of new companies entering the market. WHILE the established players greatly increase their capacity...anybody heard of Asheville?
We're experiencing an increase in craft volume without a doubt, we are experiencing a huge diversity of new choices, but there is not any increase at all in the capacity of retailers and that's where the problem lies.
The macros aren't losing tap accounts. The macros are not decreasing their shelf presence, they're increasing both through brand diversification and acquisition and they're financially capable of decreasing their overall volume in favor of increasing their market presence. This is a zero-sum industry, market presence is market dominance. Every tap you take is one another brewer can't fill. Every square inch of shelf you occupy prevents another manufacturer access to the market.
That's the problem. It isn't a problem of being shady and obfuscating your products to confuse consumers, it's a problem of using dominance over distribution to restrict access to limited markets.
(despite how this may appear, I hate being long-winded)