I would say that usually my beers are easily on par with commercial beers. We all have beers that aren't quite what we had hoped for but they are still alright. I think the "ugly baby syndrome" happens more with new brewers where as advanced brewers never think there beers are good enough. Think of it this way. If you enter a beer into a comp and it scores a 30 it is still considered a "good" beer even though most of us would not be very happy with that score. Even though it is being judged by a "beer geek" who is looking for flaws it is considered a "good" beer. Now give that same beer to a regular craft beer drinker and he/she will think it is at least a good beer but probably even better!! I love reading the Commercial Calibration section of Zymurgy...a few months ago a beer that had won multiple medals at GABF only scored a 32-33.