Efficiency drops off with increasing size grain bills since the larger amount of grain absorbs a larger fraction of the total wort created in the mash. Turns out for a given process (number of sparge steps, pre-boil volume, grain absorption rate, conversion efficiency) the lauter efficiency is a function of grain weight divided by pre-boil volume. A 6 gal pre-boil volume made from 12 lb of grain (ratio = 2) will have the same lauter efficiency as a 12 gal pre-boil volume made with 24 lb of grain.
The lauter efficiency can be calculated for batch and no-sparge processes as a function of number of sparges, weight/volume ratio, and grain absorption rate. The following chart shows how lauter efficiency looks for 0, 1, 2 & 3 sparges at two different grain absorption rates - 0.12 gal/lb (typical for an MLT) and 0.06 gal/lb (typical with hard squeezed BIAB.)
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Let's do a simple example. Let's say you used 15 lb of grain and had 7.5 gal pre-boil volume. The grain weight to pre-boil volume ratio is 2.0. now if you used 27 lb with the same 7.5 gal pre-boil, the ratio would be 3.6. Looking at the charts, going from a ratio of 2.0 to 3.6 reduces the lauter efficiency by about 13 percentage points, independent of sparge count, for typical MLT absorption rates.
So if you were getting 75% mash efficiency with 15 lb grain bills, you'd get about 62% with a 27 lb grain bill.
Given the details of a particular process if is possible to predict the lauter efficiency for different grain bill weights and pre-boil volumes. The
spreadsheet available here will do those calculations.
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