I don't have any "rule of thumb" for carbonation time. But I did a strong winter ale that ended up over carbonated. It took close to a month to carbonate and then went further. But the real thing was that it took 7 months to start tasting good and seemed to peak at 2 years. I still have about 12 bottles at over 3 years, it is still pretty good.
So, I would resist the urge to open one for 6 months or longer.
thanks kh54s10. So if I understand you, you're saying to leave at room temp for 6+ months and then, if tasting adequately carbonated, move to cool storage? Just to play the devil's advocate here, couldn't the beer carb in 2-4 months? If it did that, then isn't it preferable to move it to cool storage at that point?
This issue seems like a function one's preferences between knowing accurately when the beer is carbonated and the # of beers remaining after all the carbonation "checks." For example, here are 2 extremes:
1) Don't open any beers to check for carbonation
pros: maximizes # of beers that remain to be enjoyed later
cons: all of the beers might be undercarbonated OR they might have carbed quickly and sat unnecessarily long at room temp
2) Check carb levels frequently (eg weekly or monthly)
pros: would be able to see the evolution of the carb level, and therefore able to put the beer into cold storage at the "right" time
cons: fewer beers left to enjoy at the end.
Neither of those extremes are wrong, but it seems like many brewers would opt for something in the middle. Personally, I'm hoping that I can taste the beer
once before moving to cool storage.
I'd really appreciate hearing others' predictions regarding how long it'd take for this beer to carb!
