For anyone still following this thread, I made my first real mess during a mash this past weekend:
http://www.brewersfriend.com/homebrew/recipe/view/319230/bourbon-barrel-porter
I overshot on initial mash temp, 155 vs 152, but I'll call that a non-issue especially for style.
The real problem came during re-circulation. In a previous brew I had accidentally knocked one of the snaps off of the keg so I was watching for bag slipping. I was glad I was watching because my chosen flow rate (medium high) was flooding the bag and draining the keg. At one point the liquid level outside the bag was low enough to see the element.
I popped the bag loose and gave it a few good tugs and sloshes to release the liquid back into the kettle (through the upper section of the bag) and resumed mashing at a much lower flow rate. I also did more frequent stirring just to help keep everything moving.
At the end of the mash I lifted the bag and confirmed that there was WAY more liquid stuck in the grist and bag than I was accustomed to. About 2.5 gallons of liquid hanging in 12# of grain!
After a good 20 minutes of twisting and squeezing I was able to get almost all of the liquid out, and ended up hitting my target efficiency (75% brewhouse with little left in the keg), but not before I made a savage drippy mess of the keg, stand, and garage floor.
The biggest mess was due to the large size of the bag when it was so full of liquid. Everything kept running out and hitting the lip of the keg and then running down the sides and out.
5.5 gallons of 1.064 wort made it into the fermenter and is happily blasting away at the airlock now with a big WLP-028 Starter. The garage is clean and I'm happy again.
I'll be more careful watching the bag liquid level on my next batch for sure
