Actually from my PoV...
Kaep's decision making skills were good in college. The end result was winning a ton on games as he grew into the role. He also did this with players that frankly weren't that good..He clearly has the intangibles the NFL regards highly. I don't know that he'll continue to be successful but we'll see.
Smith has many similar attributes with some small differences. He did play many of his games (at least in the beginning) against lower talent teams but tbf he also did decently against the one or two quality/tough teams they scheduled. My problem with him however is his apparent disposition to choke when it counts. Plus he continued to play worse and worse as that situation grew. It doesn't matter who you are, in the NFL as a QB you're going to lose games. Occasionally quite a few. The successful bounce back from that. I'm not convinced this kid can do that. If he rode the bench a few years he might be find (Even Kaep got a year to breathe not to mention the fact that he was on a well balanced team...). Smith will be thrust out there early with one of the least prolific offenses in the League. I wish him luck but there are virtually no odds that would coax me into putting money on him being successful. I think the most unfortunate thing is he had all the quality teams pass him by where he could have grown and maybe proved successful down the line.