Hill Farmstead thread

[gregkoko]

have not purchased Rock Band yet, unfortunately

Rock Band at Bill's for NFL Week 1 pregame?

 

[Marc2]

Got a little bored at work and decided to chart out the limited bottle releases over the last two years at HF. After a winter & spring of new releases seemingly every week or two, we've gone 8 weeks since the last drop (Sue) assuming no late announcement for this coming Wednesday.

Between October 5th (Fear & Trembling / Flora P&P) and June 28th (Sue) there were 38 weeks encompassing 24 limited releases, including 8 multi-bottle releases. That averages to 2 limited releases every 3 weeks.

Tracking the releases back to last summer, we see a similar lull in announcements; 1 in June (Damon / LoG), 0 in July, 1 in August (Vera Mae / Elab Four), and 1 in September (Elab Five). Five limited bottles in the 20-weeks spanning the WoL Anchorage release on May 18th, up to the previously mentioned F&T / Flora P&P drop on October 5th.

Going even further back; the summer / fall of 2015 also had large gaps in limited bottles following the Flora Plum, Flora Cherry, and Flora b6 releases in May & June. 1 limited release in July (CD14), 1 in August (WoL - De Molen), and 1 in September (Flora: Cuvee).

I'm genuinely curious if this summer lull is intentional, and if so what the reasoning might be? Crowd reduction with influx of summer tourists? Does spring / summer effect the barrels and/or beer inside differently, and therefore slow their maturation? Or do these lulls simply coincide with Shaun taking the same few weeks vacation every year?

Vera Mae '15 on Wed. August 5th 2015

 

[Os]

Rock Band at Bill's for NFL Week 1 pregame?

that would be fun! I think he's xbox though... so even if I bought it, it'd be for PS4

 

[DigDug1810]

have to imagine less limited releases in the summer because they already get an increase in traffic regardless of a special release since it's summer and people have more free time and the weather is nicer to travel around in VT... Fall is kind of the same too.. or at least through most of October

 

[yasky]

Or, there are some things in the works that are just taking a little longer to be ready than anticipated.

No complaints here, there have been cans off and on for a bit and if you go by the website there are at least 15 things to choose from between growler fills and bottles.

 

[RuckIt]

the beer being ready when it's ready.

Obviously. But with it being 3 years in a row with these summer lulls, I have to assume it's intentional. Brew schedules are planned well in advance, and even with the BA beer that is released as soon as it's ready, they can project when that will be.

 

[RuckIt]

I am by no means complaining! Why do I get the feeling that people are upset that I pointed out a trend?

 

[Kingfish1]

ISO. Seriously. Anybody in North Jersey or NYC, whether I know you or not. This is a beer that seems to keep eluding me. I know it isn't super .rar or sexy, but it just sounds so god damned delicious. Somebody help me out. I'll be your best friend. I give a mean back rub.

I'm in central-NJ and will be at HF either Friday or Saturday. Happy to help you out if you want. I live near the Referend and Troon if you ever find yourself down that way, but don't think I will be up your way in the near future.

 

[Resuin]

Got a little bored at work and decided to chart out the limited bottle releases over the last two years at HF. After a winter & spring of new releases seemingly every week or two, we've gone 8 weeks since the last drop (Sue) assuming no late announcement for this coming Wednesday.

Between October 5th (Fear & Trembling / Flora P&P) and June 28th (Sue) there were 38 weeks encompassing 24 limited releases, including 8 multi-bottle releases. That averages to 2 limited releases every 3 weeks.

Tracking the releases back to last summer, we see a similar lull in announcements; 1 in June (Damon / LoG), 0 in July, 1 in August (Vera Mae / Elab Four), and 1 in September (Elab Five). Five limited bottles in the 20-weeks spanning the WoL Anchorage release on May 18th, up to the previously mentioned F&T / Flora P&P drop on October 5th.

Going even further back; the summer / fall of 2015 also had large gaps in limited bottles following the Flora Plum, Flora Cherry, and Flora b6 releases in May & June. 1 limited release in July (CD14), 1 in August (WoL - De Molen), and 1 in September (Flora: Cuvee).

I'm genuinely curious if this summer lull is intentional, and if so what the reasoning might be? Crowd reduction with influx of summer tourists? Does spring / summer effect the barrels and/or beer inside differently, and therefore slow their maturation? Or do these lulls simply coincide with Shaun taking the same few weeks vacation every year?

CD18 was released since Sue (I'm pretty sure) this year. I believe that was the last limited bottle available.

 

[purephase]

CD18 was released since Sue (I'm pretty sure) this year. I believe that was the last limited bottle available.

Yeah I believe it became available to go on July 12th.

 

[RuckIt]

CD18 was released since Sue (I'm pretty sure) this year. I believe that was the last limited bottle available.

Yeah I believe it became available to go on July 12th.

Ah, wasn't posted on their front page with the Mary release info for that week. Thanks - I'll add it to the spreadsheet!

 

[JulianB1]

Got a little bored at work and decided to chart out the limited bottle releases over the last two years at HF. After a winter & spring of new releases seemingly every week or two, we've gone 8 weeks since the last drop (Sue) assuming no late announcement for this coming Wednesday.

Between October 5th (Fear & Trembling / Flora P&P) and June 28th (Sue) there were 38 weeks encompassing 24 limited releases, including 8 multi-bottle releases. That averages to 2 limited releases every 3 weeks.

Tracking the releases back to last summer, we see a similar lull in announcements; 1 in June (Damon / LoG), 0 in July, 1 in August (Vera Mae / Elab Four), and 1 in September (Elab Five). Five limited bottles in the 20-weeks spanning the WoL Anchorage release on May 18th, up to the previously mentioned F&T / Flora P&P drop on October 5th.

Going even further back; the summer / fall of 2015 also had large gaps in limited bottles following the Flora Plum, Flora Cherry, and Flora b6 releases in May & June. 1 limited release in July (CD14), 1 in August (WoL - De Molen), and 1 in September (Flora: Cuvee).

I'm genuinely curious if this summer lull is intentional, and if so what the reasoning might be? Crowd reduction with influx of summer tourists? Does spring / summer effect the barrels and/or beer inside differently, and therefore slow their maturation? Or do these lulls simply coincide with Shaun taking the same few weeks vacation every year?

Assuming you've compiled this information correctly, the trend is roughly 0.67 limited releases per week. If (two big assumptions coming)

-that really is the true long-term mean
-releases are independent events

then a Poisson distribution implies the probabilities of 0 new releases over X weeks are as follows:

1 week: 51%
2 weeks: 26%
3 weeks: 13%
4 weeks: 6.9%
5 weeks: 3.5%

Make of that what you will. My guess is that both assumptions are faulty in certain ways.

 

[Mikecap]

Assuming you've compiled this information correctly, the trend is roughly 0.67 limited releases per week. If (two big assumptions coming)

-that really is the true long-term mean
-releases are independent events

then a Poisson distribution implies the probabilities of 0 new releases over X weeks are as follows:

1 week: 51%
2 weeks: 26%
3 weeks: 13%
4 weeks: 6.9%
5 weeks: 3.5%

Make of that what you will. My guess is that both assumptions are faulty in certain ways.

I love this post.

 

[iong516]

Assuming you've compiled this information correctly, the trend is roughly 0.67 limited releases per week. If (two big assumptions coming)

-that really is the true long-term mean
-releases are independent events

then a Poisson distribution implies the probabilities of 0 new releases over X weeks are as follows:

1 week: 51%
2 weeks: 26%
3 weeks: 13%
4 weeks: 6.9%
5 weeks: 3.5%

Make of that what you will. My guess is that both assumptions are faulty in certain ways.

Did you account for can releases? They're all the rage these days...

 

[mvl339]

Did you account for can releases? They're all the rage these days...

HF is doing it very well though, no hype, no instagram posts, no case counts, keeping the hazebros at bay.

 

[iong516]

I know trade value was so low on my cans I was forced to drink them myself and even gave some away to omgeezo

 

[Marc2]

Ah, wasn't posted on their front page with the Mary release info for that week. Thanks - I'll add it to the spreadsheet!

Reads as CD20 right now and you might have missed my reply for Vera Mae 2015 on August 5th 2015

Can take a closer look later to see if anything else is missing

 

[axeman91821]

Rock Band at Bill's for NFL Week 1 pregame?

ISO: Rock Band rental for a weekend

 

[Thevicster]

See you all at the next limited release, currently scheduled for April 8, 2024 to coincide with the eclipse totality.

See you there!

 

[Fahmie25]

See you all at the next limited release, currently scheduled for April 8, 2024 to coincide with the eclipse totality.

See you there!

Does the Stagecoach take reservations 7 years in advance?

 

[Thevicster]

4/8/24, at 3:27:24....

Be there or be.....well, square.....

 

[tbub18]

Love this pairing. hnnnngggggg

 

[pjs234]

4/8/24, at 3:27:24....

Be there or be.....well, square.....

Sucks that April 8th 2024 is a Monday...

 

[Stewmeister91]

Any special events planned for the 1,000th thread page?

 

[iong516]

We should collectively try to drink 1000 shelfies

 

[burgundysmoke]

Sucks that April 8th 2024 is a Monday...

Aren't April's in VT typically cloudy?

 

[Marc2]

Isn't VT typically cloudy?

Fixed

 

[Thevicster]

4/8/24, at 3:27:24....

Be there or be.....well, square.....

Agreed. I mean, it's not like the owner could do a special event on that day, or like they've ever changed the hours of operations n... Heyyyyyyyy.... Wait a minute.....

 

[nrs207]

Got a little bored at work and decided to chart out the limited bottle releases over the last two years at HF. After a winter & spring of new releases seemingly every week or two, we've gone 8 weeks since the last drop (Sue) assuming no late announcement for this coming Wednesday.

Between October 5th (Fear & Trembling / Flora P&P) and June 28th (Sue) there were 38 weeks encompassing 24 limited releases, including 8 multi-bottle releases. That averages to 2 limited releases every 3 weeks.

Tracking the releases back to last summer, we see a similar lull in announcements; 1 in June (Damon / LoG), 0 in July, 1 in August (Vera Mae / Elab Four), and 1 in September (Elab Five). Five limited bottles in the 20-weeks spanning the WoL Anchorage release on May 18th, up to the previously mentioned F&T / Flora P&P drop on October 5th.

Going even further back; the summer / fall of 2015 also had large gaps in limited bottles following the Flora Plum, Flora Cherry, and Flora b6 releases in May & June. 1 limited release in July (CD14), 1 in August (WoL - De Molen), and 1 in September (Flora: Cuvee).

I'm genuinely curious if this summer lull is intentional, and if so what the reasoning might be? Crowd reduction with influx of summer tourists? Does spring / summer effect the barrels and/or beer inside differently, and therefore slow their maturation? Or do these lulls simply coincide with Shaun taking the same few weeks vacation every year?

I didn't do this, but just based on CW emails over the last 11 months, I figured the summer lull was intentional because I know they're busiest in the summer. They don't need limited releases to attract people like they do when it's freezing/the roads are terrible. And by no means am I implying that's a problem.

 

[bahnfire]

Anybody who's up there today care to report on to-go cans?