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  1. mongoose33

    What Is The One Aspect of Brewing That Is Least Important to Brewing a Good Beer? (In Your Opinion)

    Yes to all the above. :) I used to work with a friend who was the editor at the American Society for Quality. One of the things i learned about was continuous quality improvement. I've applied that to my brewing. Each time I brew--every single time--I try to do something better than before...
  2. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    You're trying to make this about significance, which it is not. Funny how this thread moved away from what I wanted it to be--which is my trying to understand why others don't approach this the same way I do--to people wanting it to be about statistics. It's regression to the mean. Pure and...
  3. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    That's the whole point. You CAN'T have the best beer everywhere you go. And so the odds of the next beer you try being as good or better are virtually nil. And pedigree or no, you're not parsing this correctly. I won't continue to try to teach statistics and probability here; what everyone...
  4. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    Forgive me, but I'm not employing this in an incorrect fashion. It's simple distributional probability. Period. Or by another guise, regression to the mean. I'm pretty up on this stuff. You don't have to take my word for that, but after having taught college statistics for 30+ years, I...
  5. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    I think you're confusing safety with excellence. The two are not the same.
  6. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    I'm going to have to disagree, though I wish we were having this discussion over a beer. I've had probably....guessing here....maybe 1000 different beers in my life. If I place Peeper and Assassin at the very right end of that distribution, what do you think the odds are that any new beer I...
  7. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    Perfect and best are two different things. Perfection in statistical in nature, but it does remind me of Vince Lombardi's famous quote: "You can't achieve perfection, but if you chase perfection, you might catch excellence." I've actually used that in my brewing, trying to produce...
  8. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    Because I was on a trip with friends. Part of the interest was to see whether the reputations were deserved or not. Some were, some not. And it's where I found one of the two best beers I've ever had from a commercial operation, i.e., Peeper. Maine Brewing? Reputation deserved...
  9. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    When I walk into a bar with new beer (usually a taproom or such) I'll order a flight of beers that look interesting. Whichever wins is the next one I order. But if I walked into a bar that served Peeper or Assassin, you'd better believe I'd order one. As far as approaching everything this...
  10. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    Stochastic it may not be but the analysis is still good. If you took all the beers there are, ranked them in order of deliciousness, and then had a beer in the 99th percentile, the chances of your next beer being better is...virtually nil. Thinking the odds at 50/50 being better than anything...
  11. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    I don't want there to be arguing here, but you can't just say "statistics aside" and have that resonate with me. If I have a beer that is the best I've ever had, the odds of the next one being as good or better are virtually zero. That's why I don't understand why those who like beer would...
  12. mongoose33

    Ol' Reliable versus Something New--I'm puzzled

    Before I get into this, I believe that people like what they like, and they're not wrong to like what they like. But I've been trying to reconcile two approaches to drinking beer, and would like to initiate a conversation on this. * * * * * There appears to be two types (bear with me)...
  13. mongoose33

    Inkbird temperature controller: which power / capacity?

    To extend, you can also affect that by insulation around the fermenter. Spike's smallest fermenter heater is 80 watts; the largest is 400. In the winter my garage--where I do my brewing and fermentation--can drop to 40 degrees or lower. Sometimes the heater may struggle to overcomes that...
  14. mongoose33

    NorthEast Brewery Tour

    OK, about ClarityFerm. It's a small vial, you add it to a 5-gallon batch at the beginning of fermentation, along with the yeast. That's it. ZeroGravity said they did that not for the gluten-free. but for mouthfeel--and it creates an interesting kind of result. My wife described it as...
  15. mongoose33

    NorthEast Brewery Tour

    I noted it in the detailed recipe, but here it is. Cost me $3 at my local brew store. I'll add a little more about this in a bit--my granddaughter is calling for my attention. :)
  16. mongoose33

    Kettle not draining below valve level

    My downtube is about 1/8" above the bottom of the pot. I also tilt the kettle toward the end, but no matter what I do, I'll always leave at least something in the bottom of the kettle. If you've whirlpooled prior to draining, you don't want to get everything as it'll also take break material...
  17. mongoose33

    Inkbird temperature controller: which power / capacity?

    That's because the volume isn't relevant to what the Inkbird does. How are you planning to crash it? Refrigerator? Glycol chiller? What matters is what the cooling unit draws in watts. There's likely a surge at startup. Volume of beer doesn't matter. What matters is whether your heating...
  18. mongoose33

    NorthEast Brewery Tour

    OK, here's the recipe and process: Single-infusion beer made with mostly Low Oxygen techniques. No sparging. Five gallon batch. Grain Bill: 9# Maris Otter 2# Munich 1# Crystal 20 12 oz Oats Hop Bill: 60 Min 4 ML Hop Shot 15 Min 1 oz Citra 15 Min 1 oz Cascade 0 Min 1 oz Citra (after temp had...
  19. mongoose33

    NorthEast Brewery Tour

    Last night I had two beer buddies over to try the Little Wolf "clone." That makes it 4 weeks after brewing. It's best described as an APA, I think. It's VERY good. I'm pleased. One of my friends felt like it could use just a touch more sweetness; oddly, I'd come to the same conclusion...
  20. mongoose33

    NorthEast Brewery Tour

    Addendum: I've made a Little Wolf "clone." The Zero Gravity website lists the ingredients, but not the exact yeast type nor the ratio or timing of hop additions. So I made up a guess. I used the enzyme that's supposed to make a beer gluten-free, and dry hopped an ounce of Mosaic. It's been...
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