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Old 04-05-2013, 07:46 PM   #2011
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WesleyS View Post
What are the odds that this thread will be derailed again?
greater than even


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drinking: Wojtkowiak Piwo, CLB's Barleywine, 8Hearted Pale Ale, O'Rob's Dry Irish Stout, DB8PT Session Ale, Wojtkowiak Grodziskie - bottle conditioning: Otto M. Gourd Pumpkin Barleywine, Jewel Thieves Apple Wine, CLB's Barleywine 1.2
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Old 04-05-2013, 07:47 PM   #2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WesleyS
What are the odds that this thread will be derailed again?
6/4 chances. So is that 100% or not? I'm confused again, dammit!


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Old 04-05-2013, 07:50 PM   #2013
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60 percent of the time, it works every time.
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Old 04-05-2013, 07:52 PM   #2014
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Im 100% 50/50 on the matter.
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Old 04-05-2013, 07:52 PM   #2015
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ridire
60 percent of the time, it works every time.
I'm gonna be honest with you. That smells like pure gasoline.
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Old 04-05-2013, 07:57 PM   #2016
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GrogNerd View Post
let's say you get a cookie every time you make a basket, you're a crappy basketball player because your odds of making a basket are 1 in 4 and we are giving you 6 shots

odds are GREATER THAN EVEN that you'll get 1 cookie

definitely how it works

so the odds aren't the chances of each shot, it's that you're going to make at least one basket, given 6 shots
1 in 1 odds means 100% certainty. It *has* to happen. Even odds, 50%, as likely as not is 1 in 2.

Yes, the odds *are* better than 50% that you will get a cookie. The odds are actually 82% that you will get a cookie. That is your odds are actually 8 in 10 which is pretty damned high. But it is *not* 100% it is not 1-1. And it is certainly not "greater than 1-1" which would mean better than 100% which isn't possible.

(Actually the odds of getting a cookie are exactly 2367 in 4096 or 82.2021484375%)
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Old 04-05-2013, 08:00 PM   #2017
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Damn thing was, the free drink wouldn't have been a beer.
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Old 04-05-2013, 08:02 PM   #2018
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1 TO 1 (50%) is not 1 IN 1 (100%)
2 to 1 (66.66666666%) is not 1 in 2 (50%)
3 to 1 (75%) is not 1 in 3 (66.666666666%)

no, you can't have 3 in 1, but you CAN HAVE 3 to 1

you can have greater than 1 TO 1 odds, but not more than 1 IN 1. there's a difference

1 chance heads TO 1 chance tails, each has 1 to 1 or even odds, 50% chance.
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"Why must it always be pandemonium?" - George Mueller/Nelson Van Alden

"Beer. Good." - Words of House Grog

drinking: Wojtkowiak Piwo, CLB's Barleywine, 8Hearted Pale Ale, O'Rob's Dry Irish Stout, DB8PT Session Ale, Wojtkowiak Grodziskie - bottle conditioning: Otto M. Gourd Pumpkin Barleywine, Jewel Thieves Apple Wine, CLB's Barleywine 1.2
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Old 04-05-2013, 08:08 PM   #2019
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talking about "damning with faint praise", I gave a bottle of my first brew (English brown) to a coworker....and he came back a week later and said "I tasted your beer and it was good". I assume the sink "tasted" some of it too. I fear that the recent tv commercial showing the dude with sausages and kraut in his carboys isn't setting the stage for acceptance.
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Old 04-05-2013, 08:10 PM   #2020
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I hate that damn commercial.


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