Quick google found this information.
Based on the coefficient of thermal expansion, β, ethyl alcohol has much greater thermal expansion than water. So as the ABV goes up, the effect of even small changes in T will express greater change in volume.
So, 5% beer = 5% alcohol + 95% water and other components.
Total β = 0.95*β(water@30*C) + 0.05*β(ethyl)= 287.85 + 56= 343.85 (this seems correct, but feel free to correct me on this.
ΔV = 343.85 x 10-6* 5gals* ΔT
Example: Drop in T of 3*C(also 3Kelvin) equates to a drop in volume of 5.16x10-3gals or 0.66 ounces. This doesn't take into account the changes due to undissolved solids, sugars, esters, yeast!, etc.
So it is possible that you are seeing volumetric changes due to temperature changes of just a few degrees. This calculation was for a 5% beer. Since your alcohol content is much higher in a mead, you will see greater changes.
Move it to a warmer area (few degrees) after marking your current level to see any changes.
That was a fun distraction! Thanks
http://physics.info/expansion/
ΔV = βV0ΔT
material volume β (10−6 K−1)
alcohol, ethyl 1120
gasoline 950
jet fuel, kerosene 990
mercury 181
water, liquid (1 ℃
−50
water, liquid (4 ℃
0
water, liquid (10 ℃
88
water, liquid (20 ℃
207
water, liquid (30 ℃
303
water, liquid (40 ℃
385
water, liquid (50 ℃
457
water, liquid (60 ℃
522
iwater, liquid (70 ℃
582
water, liquid (80 ℃
640
water, liquid (90 ℃
695