The grains will hold temperature better than just the water. My mashes hold temp to within 1 degree over 60 minutes easily. I wouldn't worry about losing that much heat during the mash, but your first time will be the test. I would assume you're going to hold the temp, so put it where you want it (148-152 will give you more fermentable sugars, higher in the 150's will give you more body and malt), and then if you lose some you'll still be getting sugars vs. if you don't and you started high, you may be shorting yourself or over-malting your balance.
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