I suspect there are three major inputs to beer's history: Accidents, where someone was paying attention (this is important); Random experimentation based on whatever is available; and deliberate experimentation under tightly controlled conditions.
Most likely, the first beer was leftover grain porridge gone bad.
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Remember one unassailable statistic, as explained by the late, great George Carlin: "Just think of how stupid the average person is, and then realize half of them are even stupider!"
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